Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips

Andy

Football Previews

February 25, 2026

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UEFA Champions League | Knockout Round Play-offs | Wednesday 25 February 2026 | 20:00 | Parc des Princes
Aggregate: Paris Saint-Germain 3–2 Monaco

The PSG vs Monaco prediction centers on control.

After a dramatic 3–2 first-leg win at Stade Louis-II, Paris Saint-Germain return to Parc des Princes with a narrow advantage — but the data suggests they remain firmly in command of this tie against AS Monaco.

PSG dominated the first leg:

• 30 shots
• 80.4% possession
• Complete territorial control

Now they defend a one-goal aggregate lead at home.

⚡ MATCHDAY PICKS

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Best Bet: ✅ PSG to Win
Value Play: 📊 PSG -1 Handicap
Goals Angle: ⚽ Over 2.5 Goals
Correct Score - Score predictor football: 🎯 PSG 3–1 Monaco
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👉 Compare live PSG vs Monaco odds at MegaPari before kickoff — - Bookmakers megapari login and account verification guide second-leg game states often create strong handicap value.

Match Center

Correct Score Predictions

Top Scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

Monaco

First Leg Recap: Total PSG Control

Despite Monaco briefly leading, PSG’s dominance was overwhelming:

• Record possession for a UCL knockout match with 30+ shots
• Relentless midfield control
• Clinical finishing in key moments

Historically, PSG have only failed once to progress after winning the first leg away in Europe (vs Man Utd 2018-19).

Monaco, meanwhile, have been eliminated in all seven previous European ties after losing the first leg at home.

Tactical Breakdown

PSG – Control & Territory

PSG’s blueprint is clear:

• High-possession structure
• Midfield recycling through Vitinha
• Wide overloads and second-phase pressure

They’ve won all three Champions League matches - Football betting champions league match betting schedule against fellow French sides — scoring 13 goals in those victories.

Expect controlled dominance again.

Monaco – Forced to Open Up

Monaco must score.

But chasing the game at Parc des Princes is dangerous.

They’ve lost 13 of their last 14 domestic cup/European knockout matches against PSG outside Ligue 1.

The risk? Leaving space for PSG’s transitional pace.

Key Players

Désiré Doué – European Specialist

Désiré Doué has scored six goals in his last six UCL appearances — all braces.

Another goal would make him PSG’s youngest player to reach 10 major European goals.

Folarin Balogun – Monaco’s Threat

Folarin Balogun has five UCL goals this season - Top goal scorers and four in his last five games vs PSG.

If Monaco are to create drama, he’s the outlet.

Betting Preview & Best Tips

🥇 Best Bet

PSG to Win

Home dominance + first-leg superiority makes this the logical base play.

🥈 Value Play

PSG -1 Handicap

If Monaco chase early, space will open.

🥉 Goals Market

Over 2.5 Goals

Monaco must attack; PSG rarely sit back at home.

Before placing your bet, check updated lines at MegaPari — handicap shifts can create strong late value.

Suggested Bet Builder

Safe Builder

• PSG to Win
• Over 1.5 Goals

Value Builder

• PSG -1
• Both Teams to Score
• Over 8.5 Corners

Aggressive Builder

• PSG -2
• Doué Anytime Scorer
• Over 3.5 Goals

Use Bet Builder markets at MegaPari for enhanced returns.

Score Prediction

Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Monaco

PSG’s control, possession dominance and historical second-leg strength should see them close this tie out comfortably.

Final Verdict

Monaco need early momentum — but PSG’s territorial control in the first leg suggests this tie is leaning strongly toward the Paris side.

Expect:

• Heavy possession
• High shot volume
• Multiple goals