Burnley vs Brentford Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips

Andy

Football Previews

February 28, 2026

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Premier League | Saturday 28 February 2026 | 15:00 | Turf Moor

The Burnley vs Brentford prediction points toward a stylistic clash — survival grit versus European ambition.

Relegation-threatened Burnley sit 19th with just 19 points, while 7th-placed Brentford are pushing for continental qualification.

But Turf Moor has historically been kinder to Burnley in this fixture.

⚡ MATCHDAY PICKS

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Best Bet: ✅ Brentford Draw No Bet
Value Play: 📊 Brentford to Win
Goals Angle: ⚽ Under 3.5 Goals
Correct Score - Score predictor football: 🎯 Burnley 1–2 Brentford
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👉 Compare live Burnley vs Brentford odds at MegaPari before kickoff — road form trends may shift prices late.

Match Center

Correct Score Predictions

Top Scorers

Burnley

Brentford

Recent Form & Context

Burnley – Small Signs of Life

• 4 points from last 2 league matches
• Victory at Crystal Palace
• Draw at Chelsea

However:

• Fewest shots (246) in the league
• Lowest xG (22.7)
• Most shots faced (446)
• Highest xGA (52.8)

They struggle both creatively and defensively.

Brentford – Strong Away Momentum

• 4 wins in last 5 away league matches
• 10 wins in last 12 vs promoted sides
• Chasing European qualification

Brentford are more structured, more efficient, and statistically stronger.

Tactical Snapshot

Both sides rank highest for long-pass percentage this season:

• Burnley: 14.7%
• Brentford: 14.5%

Expect:

• Direct balls into channels
• Set-piece focus
• Transitional battles

This likely keeps total goals moderate rather than explosive.

Key Players

Zian Flemming – Road Specialist

Zian Flemming has six league goals — all away from home.

Burnley lack a consistent home scorer.

Igor Thiago – Brentford’s Edge

Igor Thiago leads Brentford with 17 goals this season - Top goal scorers.

If Brentford control territory, he’ll get chances.

Betting Breakdown

🥇 Best Bet

Brentford Draw No Bet

Burnley’s home record (4 wins in 34 PL home matches) is too fragile to trust.

🥈 Value Angle

Brentford to Win

Away momentum and stronger metrics support the Bees.

🥉 Goals Market

Under 3.5 Goals

Both teams rely on long balls and structured play — not expansive build-up.

Before placing your bet, check the latest markets at MegaPari — handicap lines may shorten on matchday.

Suggested Bet Builder

Safe Builder

• Brentford Double Chance
• Under 3.5 Goals

Value Builder

• Brentford to Win
• Over 8.5 Corners
• Both Teams to Score

Aggressive Builder

• Brentford -1 Handicap
• Igor Thiago Anytime Scorer
• Over 2.5 Goals

Use Bet Builder markets at MegaPari for enhanced returns.

Score Prediction

Burnley 1–2 Brentford

Burnley’s fight may keep it competitive, but Brentford’s away form and superior numbers should prevail.

Final Verdict

Burnley are showing resilience — but the underlying metrics remain alarming.

Brentford arrive:

• More clinical
• Better structured
• Stronger on the road

Value leans toward the away side.